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Wildfire prediction
Introduction
Wildfires are a serious problem that has been growing in intensity due to climate change all across the globe. They are disasters that occur annually and cause damage to environments, animals, buildings and people. The environmental industry has been looking for answers to prevent, monitor and control wildfires for several years now. New technologies such as Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) have provided new hopes in this regard. The two have the capacity to transform the way wildfires are predicted and managed especially through early detection, prediction and response. Such technologies can work with large data sets, learn from them and make forecasts which other approaches fail to do. They can also assist in formulation of strategy, resource management and decision making which are vital in combating fires.
Challenges
Fire disaster prediction and management has the following challenges. The traditional approaches have the inability of forecasting the occurrence, development and intensity of the fires in a given area. They also fail to effectively process large data sets that are collected from different platforms including satellite images, weather information and terrain data. Also, the conventional methods are slow and require a lot of effort and this makes it hard to deal with fires. The wildness of the fires which are dependent on weather, types of vegetation and even human intervention makes it even more challenging. However, there are number of barriers that include; limited resources and the need to develop plans and strategies.
AI Solutions
There are several challenges that affect the accurate prediction of wildfires which include; AI and ML have been identified as possible solutions to these challenges. These technologies have the ability to process large data sets within the shortest time and with a high level of precision as to the likelihood, frequency, and intensity of the fires. For instance, AI algorithms can use satellite images to identify the symptoms of fire which may include smoke or heat waves. Also, ML models can be trained with weather information, geography information and past fire incidence to ascertain risk of fire outbreak and time of occurrence. AI can also help in the management of resources, decision making and formulation of strategies. For instance, there are AI algorithms that can help in assessing the resources that will be required to put out a fire based on factors like weather conditions and the size and location of the fire. Some of the applications of AI in wildfire prediction include the FireMap project at the University of California and Ignition project at Descartes Labs.
Benefits
There are several advantages of AI and ML in the field of wildfire prediction as well as management. They improve the prediction accuracy which is crucial for identification and intervention at the initial stage. They are capable of processing large data sets at speed which is useful in panic situations. They are also effective in supporting the formulation of strategies as well as providing decisions that can help in enhancing the management of resources and coordination. In addition, the use of AI and ML can assist in the analysis of the causes and conditions that lead to fires, which in turn will aid in the prevention of such fires. They have the capacity of minimizing the economic and environmental effects of fires through supporting faster and more efficient interventions.
Return on Investment
Measuring ROI for AI and ML applications in the case of wildfire prediction is not an easy task but it is quite apparent that the costs that can be saved are massive. The ability to detect and forecast the fire can therefore help to cut down on the costs of fighting fire as well as the costs that are incurred as a result of damage on infrastructure and loss of life. Also, the AI and ML can also help in the effective management of resources hence cutting down on costs. For example, the FireMap project that applies AI for the prediction of the wildfire evolution has been useful in the determination of the resource requirements that may be needed in the future and may help in the prevention of the loss of many resources. Also, these technologies can improve the efficiency of the measures that are put in place to prevent fires, thus decreasing the occurrence and intensity of fires in the future.